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Module 04 · Predictive analytics

Predictive analytics to anticipate demand, risk and churn

We train models on your sales, inventory or collections history and connect them to your operation: forecasts and alerts your team understands and can act on.

modulo://analitica-predictivaExample
In
Sales, inventory, collections
Out
Forecasts and alerts
Explanation
In business language
01 / What it solves

Decisions backed by data, before it happens.

If your reports explain last month well but don’t help plan the next one, a model can cover that part.
  • Problem_01

    Gut-feel decisions

    Purchasing, production and collections are planned on the experience of a few people.

  • Problem_02

    Stockouts and overstock

    What sells runs out and what doesn’t piles up, with capital stuck in the warehouse.

  • Problem_03

    Risk seen too late

    Customers who will stop paying or buying are spotted after the fact.

  • Problem_04

    Reports that look back

    Dashboards explain last month, but not what comes next.

02 / How it works

Models you can understand and measure.

  1. 01 · Data

    We review what history exists and what shape it is in.

  2. 02 · Baseline

    We measure how well things are predicted today, to have a comparison.

  3. 03 · Model

    We train and validate on data the model hasn’t seen.

  4. 04 · Integration

    Forecasts reach your ERP, dashboard or inbox.

  5. 05 · Monitoring

    We compare forecasts with actuals and retrain when needed.

! Exception

Every forecast comes with the factors that weighed most. When the model has low confidence, it flags it for a person to decide.

03 / Scope

What it usually predicts.

We start with the decision that moves the most money and already has history to learn from.

  • Demand by product and branch
  • Reorder points
  • Payment default risk
  • Customer churn
  • Collections priority
  • Ticket or call volume
  • Delivery times
  • Anomaly detection
  • + whatever your operation needs
04 / What you get

A solution in production, not an endless pilot.

  • Models in production connected to your data.
  • Forecasts and alerts in your ERP, dashboard or inbox.
  • An explanation for each prediction and ongoing accuracy tracking.
  • Code, models and documentation: 100% yours.
  • Deployed in your cloud or on private infrastructure.
  • Metrics agreed in the assessment and periodic reports.
05 / Use cases

Where it usually starts.

Illustrative scenarios. In every project we define up front what will be measured.
  • Example_01Sales

    Demand forecasting for restocking

    A model anticipates stockouts and suggests when and how much to reorder.

    Measured →idle inventory and stockouts

  • Example_02Finance

    Collections priority

    It ranks accounts by default risk so the team calls the ones that matter most first.

    Measured →receivables over 60 days

  • Example_03Sales

    Customers at risk of churning

    It spots changes in buying patterns and alerts the account manager before the account is lost.

    Measured →customers recovered after an alert

Connects to what you already use

  • ERP
  • CRM
  • SQL databases
  • Spreadsheets
  • BI dashboards
  • Custom APIs
06 / Questions

About predictive analytics.

It depends on what you want to predict. During the assessment we review your history and tell you whether it is enough or what to start recording.

We don’t promise a number before seeing your data. We measure today’s accuracy as a baseline and compare the model against it on data it hasn’t seen.

Every prediction comes with the factors that influenced it most, explained in business language rather than technical terms.

We track accuracy every month and retrain the model when it starts to slip.
Let’s start

What would you like to know before it happens?

In the free assessment we review your current process and tell you what to automate first. We reply within 24 h.

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